Nearly Right

American hospitals charge uninsured patients 500% above Medicare rates whilst AI tools expose systematic fraud

Twenty-dollar subscriptions are helping ordinary people identify billing violations that regulators have failed to stop

Ashley's brother-in-law collapsed from a heart attack in June. Four hours later, he was dead. Then the hospital sent a bill for $195,000.

He had let his insurance lapse two months earlier - a gap that proved catastrophic not for his treatment, which failed regardless, but for his widow's finances. The initial bill arrived in opaque categories: $70,000 for "cardiology" with no further explanation. When pressed for detail, the hospital claimed computer system failures. When finally forced to provide standard medical billing codes, the charges revealed something more sinister than administrative incompetence.

Ashley fed the itemised bill into Claude, an artificial intelligence assistant costing $20 monthly. Within minutes, the AI identified over $100,000 in charges that Medicare rules explicitly prohibit. One code bundled all other procedures - yet the hospital had billed for every component separately. Another was an inpatient-only code used for an emergency patient never formally admitted. A third covered ventilator services that Medicare forbids billing on the same day as critical care. Supplies appeared at 500% to 2,300% of Medicare reimbursement rates.

The hospital had simply invented its own billing rules, confident that an unsophisticated widow would pay whatever appeared on official letterhead. They were charging nearly ten times what Medicare would have reimbursed for identical care.

The systematic exploitation of the uninsured

This isn't an aberration. Research from the Kaiser Family Foundation shows that private insurance typically pays hospitals 2 to 2.5 times Medicare rates. But uninsured patients face something worse: charges with no relationship to actual costs. A 2016 Health Affairs study found that hospitals charge uninsured patients 10.7% more than privately insured patients and 8.9% more than Medicare patients for identical services. The pricing logic is inverted - those least able to pay face the highest bills.

The complexity itself functions as a weapon. Medicare's Current Procedural Terminology codes, owned and licensed by the American Medical Association for $300 million annually, govern what hospitals can bill. The rules are Byzantine: certain codes bundle multiple services, others prohibit simultaneous billing, some apply only to inpatients whilst others require outpatient status. Most contain conditions and exceptions that require expert knowledge to navigate.

Hospitals exploit this systematically. Internal billing codes that match no standard database. Claims of computer failures when itemisation is requested. Charges for services Medicare would reimburse at zero dollars. The strategy relies on information asymmetry - most people confronting a six-figure medical bill lack the expertise to identify fraudulent charges, much less challenge them.

Until now. The same AI tools that analyse billing codes also calculate what Medicare would actually pay, cross-reference procedures against allowable combinations, and draft legally calibrated challenge letters. What previously required expensive medical coding specialists can now be done by anyone with a subscription and internet access.

The charity care fiction

The exploitation extends to institutional accounting. Nonprofit hospitals receive approximately $28 billion annually in federal, state and local tax exemptions, justified by their obligation to provide "community benefit" - primarily charity care for those who cannot pay.

Yet hospitals set arbitrary "chargemaster" prices at astronomical levels, then report uncollected amounts as charity care to justify tax exemptions. A hospital billing $195,000 and collecting nothing claims the entire sum as charitable contribution, despite the reasonable cost being perhaps $20,000. In 2020, nonprofit hospitals' $28 billion in tax exemptions exceeded their $16 billion in actual charity care costs.

Researchers from Johns Hopkins University and Georgetown Law found that for-profit hospitals provide $3.80 in charity care per $100 of spending, compared to $2.30 for tax-exempt nonprofits. The institutions receiving tax breaks for charitable mission provide less charity than their commercial competitors.

Some nonprofit hospitals have sued low-income patients over unpaid bills whilst simultaneously reporting those inflated bills as charity care for tax purposes. The widow facing $195,000 in charges was offered "charity assistance" not because she qualified as indigent, but because the hospital needed write-offs to maintain tax-exempt status. Had she accepted, the hospital would have reported the full inflated bill as charity care despite providing no service at a loss.

When artificial intelligence shifts the balance

Another case from the same online thread involved a father whose insurance company denied approval for his six-year-old child's life-saving surgery at the last moment. ChatGPT guided him through the external appeals process, researched precedent, helped draft appeals with proper legal language, and identified pressure points in the insurance company's decision-making structure. Ten days after the denial, the procedure was approved. The child survived.

These AI systems process thousands of Medicare billing rules, cross-reference procedures against allowable combinations, calculate reasonable reimbursement rates, and draft challenge letters. They don't replace human judgment - users must verify findings and make strategic decisions - but they provide capabilities previously available only to specialists.

The implications extend beyond individual victories. If millions of Americans can suddenly identify and challenge fraudulent billing, the information asymmetry that enables exploitation begins to collapse. Hospitals have relied on complexity as protection; AI makes complexity navigable.

The scale of what remains hidden

Medical debt affects over 100 million Americans - nearly one in three adults. Research published in the American Journal of Public Health found that 66.5% of personal bankruptcies are caused by medical bills, representing approximately 275,000 medical bankruptcies annually. Total medical debt in the United States reaches $195 billion to $220 billion.

These aren't exclusively uninsured patients. More than 90% of Americans have some form of health insurance, yet 56% of those with medical debt were insured when they incurred it. High deductibles, narrow networks, and claim denials mean coverage provides less protection than many assume.

The consequences compound. People with medical debt report cutting spending on food and essentials, exhausting savings, borrowing from family, or taking on additional high-interest debt. Nearly one in five adults with healthcare debt declares bankruptcy or loses their home because of it. Medical debt damages credit scores, making it difficult to rent housing, get employment, or start businesses.

Medical bankruptcy is rare to nonexistent in other developed nations. The phenomenon reflects not merely high healthcare costs but a system designed to extract maximum payment from the most vulnerable whilst shielding the profitable core of insured, employed patients.

What democratised expertise reveals

Ashley's story ended better than most. Armed with AI analysis identifying billing violations, she wrote a letter explaining the fraud and threatening legal action. The hospital, recognising it had been caught in an indefensible position, reduced its demand from $195,000 to $37,000. She countered at $19,000 - the Medicare reimbursement rate - and prevailed.

But this outcome required resources most Americans lack: technical competence to use AI tools effectively, confidence to negotiate rather than submit, and critically, money. The hospital had tried to extract $195,000 from someone who could afford to pay, knowing that without sophisticated challenge most people simply surrender. For those without resources, the same fraudulent bills often lead to ruined credit, garnished wages, or bankruptcy.

Accessible AI tools cannot solve systemic problems requiring policy reform. But they reveal something important: the complexity protecting hospital billing practices from scrutiny is not impenetrable. It merely requires knowledge that, until recently, was artificially scarce.

When ordinary people can identify Medicare billing violations, calculate reasonable reimbursement rates, and draft legally sound challenge letters for $20 monthly, the protective complexity begins to break down. Hospitals have depended on information asymmetry. That advantage is eroding.

The question is what happens next. Will this democratisation of expertise force systemic change, or merely help a fortunate minority whilst the majority continues to suffer under fraudulent bills they cannot effectively challenge?

For now, at least the fraud is becoming visible. And visibility, in systems that depend on opacity to function, is where reform begins.

#artificial intelligence #wellbeing