Nearly Right

Germany blocks EU mass surveillance plan after public pressure forces government reversal

Citizens prove democratic engagement can still protect civil liberties as governments' decade-long pursuit of digital surveillance hits setback

On 8 October 2025, Germany killed the most ambitious surveillance measure Europe has attempted since courts struck down mass data retention a decade ago. The announcement was brief: Germany would not support ChatControl, the EU proposal requiring every messaging platform to scan every private communication before encryption. Without Germany's 83.5 million citizens—roughly 19 per cent of the EU's population—the measure lacked the qualified majority needed to pass.

What makes this remarkable is not that Germany opposed surveillance. It is that Germany's opposition came entirely from public pressure, not principle.

The coalition government that took power in May 2025 had quietly shifted Germany's position to "undecided" despite the previous government's clear opposition. The Interior Ministry indicated openness to the Danish proposal. Nothing in the technical evidence had changed. What changed was that thousands of German citizens contacted their representatives. Digital rights organisations coordinated campaigns. Technology companies threatened to exit the market. Within days, the Christian Democratic Union parliamentary group broke ranks and declared the measure unacceptable.

"We are opposed to the unwarranted monitoring of chats," said Jens Spahn, chairman of the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the Bundestag. "That would be like opening all letters as a precautionary measure to see if there is anything illegal in them."

The immediate victory matters. But the pattern that produced ChatControl—and that guarantees its return—reveals something more troubling about how democratic governments actually approach civil liberties.

European governments have been trying to implement mass communications surveillance since 2006. Courts strike down each proposal for violating fundamental rights. Politicians wait a few years, repackage the same measure under a different name, and try again.

The Data Retention Directive of 2006 required telecommunications providers to store metadata about all communications for up to two years. Privacy advocates challenged it immediately. In 2014, the Court of Justice of the European Union declared the directive invalid, ruling that blanket data collection violated the EU Charter of Fundamental Rights. The court's reasoning was clear: general and indiscriminate retention of data constitutes a particularly serious interference with fundamental rights when not limited to what is strictly necessary.

That judgment applies perfectly to ChatControl, which would mandate scanning every message, photo, and file shared by 450 million Europeans without individualised suspicion. Yet the European Commission proposed it anyway in May 2022, framed as the Child Sexual Abuse Regulation. Commissioner Ylva Johansson championed the measure, even whilst facing criticism for using micro-targeting techniques to promote it—techniques that themselves violated EU data protection rules.

The proposal has been revised under successive EU Council presidencies—Belgian, Polish, Danish—with each iteration attempting new language whilst preserving the core surveillance mechanism. Denmark's presidency, beginning in July 2025, made ChatControl a priority and scheduled a vote for 14 October. According to privacy advocate Patrick Breyer, the Danish government spread false claims that the European Parliament would refuse to extend voluntary scanning arrangements if the Council failed to agree on mandatory measures. Breyer, a former MEP and persistent critic, called this "shameless disinformation".

The pattern is instructive. Politicians do not abandon surveillance ambitions when courts rule against them. They reframe and reintroduce.

The technical reality nobody wants to hear

ChatControl's proponents claim it would preserve encryption whilst detecting illegal material. This framing is, to put it charitably, misleading.

The proposal would require client-side scanning: analysing content on users' devices before encryption. Leading cryptographers examined this approach in a 2021 paper published in the Journal of Cybersecurity. The authors—including Ross Anderson, Whitfield Diffie, Ronald Rivest, and Bruce Schneier—concluded that such systems create serious security and privacy risks whilst providing questionable assistance for law enforcement.

The fundamental problem is architectural. Client-side scanning requires software on every device to compare content against a database of prohibited material before allowing transmission. This creates three immediate vulnerabilities.

First, anyone who gains access to the hash database and notification system can monitor specific content before encryption. Second, the scanning mechanism itself becomes an attack surface for malicious actors. Third—and most critically—there is no technical way to limit what gets scanned. The same system designed to detect child exploitation imagery can be reconfigured to scan for political dissent, journalistic sources, or any content governments wish to monitor. The code cannot be constrained by policy intentions.

The European Parliament's own impact assessment found that detection technology produces unacceptably high rates of false positives and false negatives. In Ireland, where providers voluntarily scan for child exploitation material, only 20 per cent of reports to police turned out to be actual exploitation material. Scaling this error rate to 450 million users would overwhelm law enforcement with irrelevant reports whilst missing actual crimes.

Actual criminals, meanwhile, can easily circumvent the system. Modify images to change digital fingerprints. Encrypt content with separate applications. Use alternative communication methods. Client-side scanning catches only the careless whilst subjecting everyone else to surveillance—precisely backwards from effective law enforcement.

None of this stopped politicians from pushing the measure. The technical reality was inconvenient to the policy objective, so it was ignored.

Building surveillance infrastructure for future governments

What ChatControl would actually accomplish has little to do with its stated purpose.

Once governments mandate that every device must scan all content before encryption, they create surveillance infrastructure that persists regardless of original intent. The hash database of prohibited content can be expanded at any time. Today it targets child exploitation imagery. Tomorrow it includes political manifestos, journalistic leaks, anything authorities deem problematic.

The Electronic Frontier Foundation examined how client-side scanning systems could be reconfigured. Code written for scanning images cannot be technically limited to only images. The same mechanism could scan text messages by checking every word against a dictionary, effectively decrypting all communication. Users have no way to audit whether the system has been expanded because the contents of the prohibited hash database are deliberately opaque.

History demonstrates what happens to surveillance infrastructure built for one purpose. The USA Patriot Act, passed hastily after September 11 with sunset provisions, was repeatedly extended and expanded well beyond its original terrorism focus. Many European countries maintained data retention regimes long after the 2014 court ruling declared them illegal, ignoring constitutional protections until forced to comply through years of additional litigation.

As Signal Foundation President Meredith Whittaker wrote in an open letter to the German government, client-side scanning would enable "mass surveillance free-for-all, opening up everyone's intimate and confidential communications, whether government officials, military, investigators, journalists, or human rights defenders". The infrastructure, once built, becomes available for any government that gains power—including those less committed to democratic norms than current EU leadership.

This is why cryptographers warned so strongly against the proposal. They were not concerned about its current application. They were concerned about the surveillance architecture it would create for whoever comes next.

When citizens force the issue

Germany's position trajectory tells you how democratic governments actually handle civil liberties when convenient surveillance measures are proposed.

The previous government opposed ChatControl consistently. The new coalition, formed in May 2025, initially maintained that opposition. Then Germany's position quietly shifted to "undecided" in internal EU Council discussions. The Interior Ministry, led by Alexander Dobrindt, indicated openness to the Danish proposal. No new evidence emerged to justify the shift. The technical problems remained identical. The constitutional concerns were unchanged.

What changed was political calculation.

Then citizens mobilised. Digital rights organisations coordinated campaigns across Europe. Thousands of Germans contacted representatives. The Chaos Computer Club warned that ChatControl would destroy secure communications infrastructure. More than 40 European technology companies signed an open letter. Signal and other encrypted messaging services threatened to exit the market.

The CDU/CSU parliamentary group, which holds significant power in the coalition, realised they faced a political problem. Citizens cared about this issue, understood the technical stakes, and were prepared to hold representatives accountable. Within days, the parliamentary group broke with the Interior Ministry and declared categorical opposition.

Germany did not oppose ChatControl because constitutional scholars explained it violated fundamental rights. Those arguments had been available for years. Germany opposed ChatControl because enough citizens made their representatives understand that supporting mass surveillance would carry political costs.

Patrick Breyer, who has fought surveillance proposals throughout his career, celebrated the outcome whilst acknowledging its fragility. "This is a tremendous victory for freedom and proves that protest works," he said. Then he immediately warned that the European Commission would likely propose extending the current voluntary scanning regime that already allows some providers to monitor communications without transparency or accountability.

The next iteration

ChatControl will return. The pattern repeats too consistently to expect otherwise.

Germany's opposition demonstrates that sustained public pressure can force temporary retreats. It does not demonstrate that democratic governments have abandoned surveillance ambitions. The question is whether citizens maintain engagement long enough to prevent the next iteration when attention fades and political circumstances change.

The technical arguments against client-side scanning remain valid. The constitutional concerns that struck down the Data Retention Directive apply equally to mandatory message scanning. None of this prevents governments from repeatedly proposing the same measures under different names.

Meanwhile, voluntary scanning infrastructure already exists. American technology companies including Meta, Google, and Microsoft scan messages on their platforms without end-to-end encryption. They report suspicious content to law enforcement through systems that operate with minimal transparency. The European Commission's apparent next move is extending this regime, which operates in a legal grey area that avoids direct constitutional challenges whilst normalising surveillance as a background condition of digital communication.

European privacy advocates face a strategic challenge. Victory this time came from coordinating across multiple countries, maintaining pressure through shifting political circumstances, and making technical issues comprehensible to politicians who prefer to avoid difficult questions. Repeating this mobilisation each time surveillance proposals return requires institutional capacity that civil society organisations may struggle to sustain.

Germany's opposition bought time. Whether that time gets used to establish robust legal protections or simply delays the inevitable remains unclear. What is certain is that democratic privacy protection requires constant vigilance against governments that view civil liberties as obstacles to be overcome rather than rights to be defended.

The vote scheduled for 14 October has been cancelled. ChatControl will not become law this month. But it will return in some form, under some new name, whenever political conditions seem favourable and public attention turns elsewhere. The only reliable defence is ensuring it never becomes politically favourable—which requires citizens maintaining exactly the kind of pressure that forced Germany's reversal long after the immediate crisis passes.

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