Nearly Right

The cognitive revolution hiding in plain sight

How information density became business's most undervalued competitive advantage

Picture the most expensive two minutes in Silicon Valley. It's Demo Day at Y Combinator, where 200 founders face 1,500 investors in a ritual that can create or destroy billion-dollar dreams. Each startup gets exactly 120 seconds to justify months of preparation and years of work. The world's most sophisticated startup accelerator has refined every detail. Yet what unfolds is a systematic masterclass in how brilliant people fail to communicate.

The pattern is brutally predictable. Founder after founder rushes through slides drowning in buzzwords: "We're a next-generation AI-powered platform leveraging blockchain technology to optimise supply chain inefficiencies." Phones emerge from pockets. "We're addressing pain points in the B2B2C marketplace by providing end-to-end solutions that streamline operational workflows." Laptops snap open.

Then something shifts. A founder steps forward and delivers two sentences: "Restaurants throw away £20 billion of food each year because they can't predict demand. We use sales data to tell them exactly how much to order tomorrow."

The room transforms. Conversations halt. Screens close. Everyone leans forward.

What just happened? This isn't about charisma or presentation polish. It's about cognitive architecture - and it reveals a crisis hiding at the heart of modern business.

The £30 billion communication catastrophe

Calvin French-Owen witnessed this phenomenon hundreds of times during his stint at Y Combinator. Brilliant founders - people who could code elegant algorithms or design revolutionary products - would stand before him unable to explain what their company actually did. "Nearly all of them needed to improve the way they describe their business," he recalls. His solution was deceptively elegant: "high bit-rate" communication, where every minute of speaking delivers maximum information to the listener.

But French-Owen had stumbled onto something far more significant than startup presentation coaching. Across British businesses, a systematic communication breakdown is destroying value at industrial scale. Recent research reveals that 46% of employees regularly receive unclear or confusing messages, with more than a third experiencing this problem multiple times daily. The result: 40 minutes of lost productivity per employee, every single day.

The arithmetic is staggering. In a typical 500-person company, poor communication eliminates the equivalent of 83 full-time workers annually. Scale this across the economy, and we're looking at tens of billions in lost productivity - a hidden tax on every organisation that tolerates fuzzy thinking and muddled expression.

Yet this calculates only the visible costs. Unclear direction compounds exponentially as it cascades through organisational layers. Strategic initiatives lose focus. Teams pursue contradictory goals. Decision-making slows to bureaucratic crawl. Companies that should move like startups lumber like oil tankers, suffocated by the noise of their own inefficient communications.

When brilliant minds built the rules

The mathematical foundation was established in 1948 by Claude Shannon, a Bell Labs engineer whose "Mathematical Theory of Communication" created the field of information theory. Shannon proved something counterintuitive: regardless of complexity - whether transmitting Shakespeare sonnets or Beethoven symphonies - all information moves most efficiently when compressed into concentrated, discrete units. Maximum signal, minimum noise.

Shannon's insight seems abstract until you witness it in action at Demo Day. The founders drowning in jargon are violating fundamental information theory. They're transmitting maximum noise with minimal signal, creating what Shannon would recognise as catastrophic system failure.

Eight years later, Harvard psychologist George Miller discovered why Shannon's mathematics predict human behaviour so precisely. Miller's groundbreaking research revealed that our brains can actively hold only about seven items in working memory at any given moment - give or take two. This isn't about intelligence or education. It's biology.

Miller's Law explains why the restaurant founder succeeded whilst others failed. His two-sentence pitch contained exactly the right cognitive load: problem (restaurants waste £20 billion), solution (predictive ordering), mechanism (sales data), outcome (exact quantities). Four discrete chunks that fit comfortably within working memory's constraints.

When people receive more information than their mental architecture can process, predictable failures cascade. Attention fragments. Decision-making deteriorates. Tasks get abandoned. No amount of goodwill or expertise can overcome these neurological limits.

The great obfuscation

This creates a merciless selection mechanism in modern business. Yet how did we arrive at a world where brilliant people systematically violate the basic principles of human information processing?

The answer lies in a historical accident that nobody planned and few recognise. Contemporary business communication represents a deviation from centuries of practical human interaction - an aberration that we've mistaken for sophistication.

Before the Great Depression, business language was refreshingly direct. Companies emphasised "accuracy, precision, incentives, and maximised production." People spoke like craftsmen discussing their work: concrete, specific, results-focused.

The transformation began in the 1930s as researchers discovered the psychology of workplace relationships. Managers learned that treating workers "like machines" created tension and inefficiency. This insight was valuable, but it triggered an unexpected consequence: business communication became psychologically complex, abstract, relationship-focused rather than outcome-focused.

By the 1970s, the pattern had metastasised. Consultant Charles Krone ran a $40 million training programme at Pacific Bell featuring terms like "task cycle" and "functioning capabilities." Employees rebelled, but the precedent was set. Other consultants proliferated their own linguistic innovations: "streamline," "restructure," "create operational efficiencies," "boil the ocean."

Each generation of managers inherited and expanded this vocabulary, mistaking complexity for competence. Business schools codified the patterns. Professional advancement became associated with fluency in these abstract systems rather than clarity of expression.

The digital economy changes everything. Shannon's information theory proves that complex systems require simplified communication protocols. Yet most business professionals still operate with industrial-era patterns optimised for hierarchical, slower-moving environments where obfuscation provided protection.

The authenticity detection mechanism

French-Owen's examples reveal an unexpected pattern: high bit-rate requirements don't just improve communication - they filter for authentic expertise. When he observes that "writing forces clarity of thought" and distinguishes between those who "throw together a slide deck and muddle through" versus those who achieve genuine understanding, he's describing an authenticity detection mechanism.

Corporate jargon often emerges when company leaders feel uncomfortable admitting uncertainty. Strategic ambiguity provides professional cover for those whose expertise exists primarily in presentation rather than substance. Forcing brevity and concreteness makes such hiding impossible.

Consider the difference between these explanations of a company's strategic direction:

Traditional version: "We've taken a solution-focused approach, dominated by our corporate values, to create a paradigm shift in the industry through our innovative platform that leverages cutting-edge technology to optimise operational workflows and deliver unprecedented value to stakeholders."

High bit-rate version: "We help restaurants reduce food waste by 30% using predictive ordering software."

The second version demands genuine understanding. You cannot simplify what you don't truly comprehend.

The network effects of clarity

This creates cascading organisational advantages. When internal communication operates at high bit-rates, collective decision-making accelerates, coordination costs decrease, and strategic alignment improves. Research spanning five decades shows that communication sits at the heart of leadership effectiveness, determining how fast and accurately information travels through systems.

High bit-rate organisations gain compound advantages in strategic speed and execution quality. They can maintain higher levels of organisational complexity because they minimise cognitive waste in information transmission. Meanwhile, their competitors drown in the noise of their own inefficient internal communications.

The external advantages are even more pronounced. Investors explicitly value clear, concise communication from startups. In professional services, clients pay premiums for consultants who can distill complex analysis into actionable insights. In management, the ability to translate strategic vision into concrete direction determines execution success.

The temporal arbitrage opportunity

Here lies the most profound insight: whilst most professionals spend careers learning domain expertise, virtually none systematically develop communication density skills. The temporal arbitrage exists because high bit-rate communication abilities are dramatically underinvested relative to their multiplier effects.

Traditional professional development focuses on accumulating knowledge and credentials. But in accelerated business environments, advantage increasingly lies in information transmission efficiency and cognitive load management - skills orthogonal to domain expertise.

This suggests we're witnessing the emergence of a new form of professional inequality. Those capable of high-density information transmission gain systematic advantages in resource access, decision-maker attention, and strategic opportunities. It's a cognitive class distinction based on processing efficiency rather than traditional credentials.

The infrastructure insight

The deepest revelation concerns how communication density functions as organisational infrastructure. Just as individual working memory is limited to seven items, organisational working memory depends on communication efficiency between people and systems.

Companies with high bit-rate communication can handle greater strategic complexity, respond faster to market changes, and coordinate more sophisticated operations. Communication efficiency determines collective cognitive capacity.

This reframes everything. Communication isn't a soft skill that nice-to-have - it's cognitive infrastructure that determines competitive capacity. Organisations that systematically reduce cognitive load in information transmission gain decisive advantages in decision-making speed and quality.

The reckoning ahead

We're witnessing the early stages of a professional revolution disguised as a communication problem. Traditional hierarchies built on credentials and domain expertise are giving way to systems that reward cognitive processing efficiency - the ability to transmit valuable information through networks of human attention.

In Y Combinator's compressed universe - 320 companies competing for investor attention across eight hours - natural selection operates at visible speed. Those who've mastered information density secure funding. Those who haven't become cautionary tales. Similar pressures now ripple across industries as business cycles accelerate and executive attention becomes the ultimate scarce resource.

The professionals who recognise this shift early gain extraordinary advantages. They're not merely better communicators - they've developed cognitive architecture optimised for information-rich, time-constrained environments. Their ideas travel further, their strategies get implemented faster, their influence compounds across networks.

Meanwhile, those who continue operating with industrial-era communication patterns face systematic disadvantages that worsen over time. Their expertise becomes increasingly inaccessible, trapped behind walls of jargon and complexity that modern business environments cannot afford to penetrate.

Return to that Demo Day scene with fresh eyes. The founder who succeeded with two sentences about restaurant food waste wasn't just delivering a better pitch. He was demonstrating mastery of the cognitive infrastructure that determines competitive advantage in the modern economy.

French-Owen's insight about "high bit-rate people" describes something much larger than startup advice. It captures the fundamental requirement for success in systems where information moves at network speed through biological hardware optimised for simpler times.

The cognitive revolution was never announced because it happened gradually, then suddenly. Those who adapt thrive. Those who don't become relics of a more forgiving era when inefficient communication was merely expensive rather than professionally fatal.

The revolution isn't coming. It's here, hiding in plain sight. The only question is whether you're ready to see it.

#leadership